Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.987380 4.759386 5.619826 6.646856 7.836133 9.166631 10.764337
2025-07-20 2.965472 3.979355 5.226064 6.858885 8.926507 11.441760 14.715382
2025-07-27 2.383803 3.524940 5.045517 7.190499 10.103488 13.882093 19.107088
2025-08-03 1.887184 3.043397 4.697255 7.185225 10.771241 15.679616 22.814551
2025-08-10 1.466096 2.564558 4.242514 6.919173 10.988834 16.830327 25.700539
2025-08-17 1.160377 2.190494 3.862888 6.677438 11.167582 17.890739 28.499208
2025-08-24 0.970835 1.964066 3.667385 6.673466 11.675498 19.444234 32.112900
2025-08-31 0.824268 1.780748 3.507691 6.692855 12.201709 21.046721 35.904716
2025-09-07 0.692710 1.596831 3.313565 6.617826 12.547894 22.373887 39.346668
2025-09-14 0.557649 1.376057 3.013563 6.306450 12.442377 22.937170 41.577796
2025-09-21 0.477623 1.253094 2.878848 6.276850 12.819781 24.322242 45.248242
2025-09-28 0.409866 1.142276 2.749376 6.236136 13.164168 25.665530 48.929289
2025-10-05 0.384598 1.128343 2.824265 6.620266 14.361546 28.633417 55.688177
2025-10-12 0.347622 1.077643 2.811793 6.823180 15.229600 31.077664 61.701623
2025-10-19 0.323150 1.053934 2.856010 7.150593 16.373584 34.111408 68.975982
2025-10-26 0.281518 0.973507 2.754453 7.144523 16.835985 35.895305 74.074462
2025-11-02 0.232714 0.859477 2.551191 6.879559 16.727048 36.568122 77.135649
2025-11-09 0.193083 0.761626 2.370234 6.638976 16.639247 37.264647 80.272732
2025-11-16 0.169156 0.707025 2.292625 6.635001 17.065957 39.011825 85.541192
2025-11-23 0.149259 0.660307 2.228163 6.654285 17.544388 40.893836 91.185297
2025-11-30 0.128986 0.606058 2.132353 6.579636 17.796636 42.319703 95.998523
2025-12-07 0.105101 0.530000 1.957199 6.269850 17.459636 42.469368 98.220337
2025-12-14 0.091857 0.491478 1.889066 6.240402 17.794235 44.084004 103.556721